IT & Software

Scenario Planning and Sensitivity Analysis

Plan for Every Possibility with this ChatGPT Prompt, Focusing on Scenario Modeling, Variable Sensitivity, and Strategic Risk Management

What This Prompt Does

Builds a flexible forecasting framework that explores multiple sales outcomes based on different future scenarios: optimistic, pessimistic, and baseline.
Identifies and evaluates key variables—such as pricing adjustments, ad performance, customer acquisition costs, and external market changes—that influence sales outcomes.
Conducts sensitivity analysis to determine which inputs have the highest impact on projections, empowering leaders to prioritize focus and allocate resources more effectively.
Delivers actionable insights to guide decision-making, budget allocation, campaign planning, and risk mitigation strategies.

Tips

Define Clear Scenarios: Use data and assumptions to define what "optimistic," "pessimistic," and "baseline" actually mean in measurable terms (e.g., traffic volume, conversion rates, CAC).
Limit Key Variables per Model: Start by focusing on 3–5 high-impact levers such as pricing, lead volume, and ad spend efficiency—this keeps analysis manageable and insightful.
Test Contingency Strategies: For your worst-case scenario, include countermeasures such as budget shifts, offer changes, or new channels to buffer losses.
Use a Visualization Layer: Represent each scenario in a line graph, waterfall chart, or dashboard to make insights more digestible for stakeholders.
Repeat Quarterly or Seasonally: Market conditions shift often. Revisit your scenarios on a regular cadence to stay aligned with real-world trends.

Prompt

"Conduct scenario planning and sensitivity analysis for our AI automation bundle over the next quarter. Assess how pricing changes, paid ad ROI, and email conversion rates may affect sales outcomes under three scenarios. Suggest contingency plans and marketing tactics to reduce downside risk and maximize upside opportunity."

How To Use The Prompt

Fill in the placeholders [INSERT PRODUCT/SERVICE], [INSERT TIMEFRAME], [INSERT KEY VARIABLES], [INSERT DATA SOURCES], and [INSERT STRATEGIC GOALS] to match your business environment and forecasting objectives.

Example Input

#INFORMATION ABOUT MY FORECASTING NEEDS:

Product/Service: Complete AI Bundle by God of Prompt
Timeframe: Next 90 days (Q3)
Key Variables: Ad spend ROI, cart abandonment rate, price testing (standard vs. discounted), seasonal fluctuations (post-summer dip)
Scenarios:
- Optimistic: 3.5% conversion rate, low CPM, high email engagement
- Baseline: 2.3% conversion rate, stable CPM, average open rates
- Pessimistic: 1.2% conversion rate, high CPM, low ad engagement
Data Sources: Shopify dashboard, Google Ads, ConvertKit, historical sales data
Strategic Goals: Maximize Q3 revenue, reduce CAC, and maintain positive cash flow across all scenarios
Brand Voice: Informative, supportive, strategic, action-oriented

Additional Information

This ChatGPT prompt is a powerful tool for sales leaders, startup founders, CFOs, and strategic marketers seeking clarity in uncertainty. It turns speculation into structured planning—providing confidence through well-reasoned projections and prepared fallback strategies.

Whether you're forecasting for an upcoming product launch, annual planning cycle, or a volatile economic environment, this prompt helps you manage complexity with clarity—so you can lead with intention, not intuition.

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